Findings

Learning System

Kevin Lewis

July 29, 2024

The Lasting Impacts of Middle School Principals
Eric Hanushek et al.
NBER Working Paper, July 2024

Abstract:
Using rich Texas administrative data, we estimate the impact of middle school principals on post-secondary schooling, employment, and criminal justice outcomes. The results highlight the importance of school leadership, though striking differences emerge in the relative importance of different skill dimensions to different outcomes. The estimates reveal large and highly significant effects of principal value-added to cognitive skills on the productive activities of schooling and work but much weaker effects of value-added to noncognitive skills on these outcomes. In contrast, there is little or no evidence that middle school principals affect the probability a male is arrested and has a guilty disposition by raising cognitive skills but strong evidence that they affect these outcomes through their impacts on noncognitive skills, especially those related to the probability of an out-of-school suspension. In addition, the principal effects on the probability of engagement in the criminal justice system are much larger for Black than for nonBlack males, corresponding to race differences in engagement with the criminal justice system.


Do Motivated Classmates Matter for Educational Success?
Jan Bietenbeck
Economic Journal, forthcoming

Abstract:
I provide evidence of social spillovers of personality by showing that being in class with motivated peers affects educational success. I first document that academic motivation, a key aspect of personality in the context of education, predicts own achievement, classroom behavior, high school GPA, and college-test taking among elementary school students. Exploiting random assignment of students to classes, I then show that exposure to motivated classmates causally affects achievement, an effect that operates over and above spillovers of classmates' past achievement and socio-demographic composition. However, peer motivation in elementary school does not affect own motivation and long-term educational success.


Course grades as a signal of student achievement: Evidence of grade inflation before and after COVID-19
Dan Goldhaber & Maia Goodman Young
Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, forthcoming

Abstract:
There is widespread speculation and some evidence that grades and grading standards changed during the pandemic, making higher grades relatively easier to achieve. In this paper we use longitudinal data from students in Washington State to investigate middle and high school grades in math, science, and English pre- and post-pandemic. Our descriptive analysis of the data reveals that -- in accordance with state guidance -- almost no students received an F in the spring of 2020, and the share of students receiving A's jumped dramatically. While English and science grades returned to pre-pandemic levels in the years following the 2019/2020 school year, grades in math did not. To understand how well grades reflect objective measures of learning we regress test scores on student grades separately by subject and year and find that the strength of the relationship between grades and test scores has diminished over time in math. The diminishment of the signal value of grades may be a concern given that schools and families use grades as a signal of when students are ready to progress and when they might need more help.


Does Online Testing Make the Grade? Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial
Ann Atwater, Mark Rush & Perihan Saygin
Education Finance and Policy, forthcoming

Abstract:
As a result of the increase in online course offerings at colleges and universities, the prevalence of online and computerized examinations has increased over the last two decades. Beyond academia, online examinations have been used to assess competence for certifications by both governments and private firms. Despite this importance, a randomized controlled trial that randomizes individual test takers into online and in-person examinations has not previously been conducted. In this paper, we rectify this by conducting this experiment in a large economics class at a large research university in the American southeast. We supplement our experiment results with a novel methodology of using screening surveys administered to potential volunteers which solicit preference information. We find that online testing reduces examination grades by over a tenth of a standard deviation, relative to in-person assessment. Additional exploratory exercises provide evidence that this effect is driven by students who prefer in-person examinations.


Diverse Paths to College Success: The Impact of Massachusetts' Urban and Nonurban Charter Schools on College Trajectories
Sarah Cohodes & Astrid Pineda
NBER Working Paper, July 2024

Abstract:
The charter school movement encompasses many school models. In Massachusetts in the 2010's, the site of our study, urban charter schools primarily used "No Excuses" practices, whereas nonurban charters had greater model variety. Using randomized admissions lotteries, we estimate the impact of charter schools by locality on college preparation, enrollment, and graduation. Urban charter schools boost all of these outcomes. Nonurban charter schools raise college enrollment and graduation despite reducing state test scores and AP enrollment. Our results suggest that there is more than one path to a college degree and that test score impacts may not predict college outcomes.


College Students and Career Aspirations: Nudging Student Interest in Teaching
Alvin Christian, Matthew Ronfeldt & Basit Zafar
NBER Working Paper, July 2024

Abstract:
We survey undergraduate students at a large public university to understand the pecuniary and non-pecuniary factors driving their college major and career decisions with a focus on K-12 teaching. While the average student reports there is a 6% chance they will pursue teaching, almost 27% report a nonzero chance of working as a teacher in the future. Students, relative to existing statistics, generally believe they would earn substantially more in a non-teaching job (relative to a teaching job). We run a randomized information experiment where we provide students with information on the pecuniary and non-pecuniary job characteristics of teachers and non-teachers. This low-cost informational intervention impacts students' beliefs about their job characteristics if they were to work as a teacher or non-teacher, and increases the reported likelihood they will major or minor in education by 35% and pursue a job as a teacher or in education by 14%. Linking the survey data with administrative transcript records, we find that the intervention had small (and weak) impacts on the decision to minor in education in the subsequent year. Overall, our results indicate that students hold biased beliefs about their career prospects, they update these beliefs when provided with information, and that this information has limited impacts on their choices regarding studying and having a career in teaching.


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