Findings

Getting to Yes

Kevin Lewis

October 18, 2011

Polarizing Cues

Stephen Nicholson

American Journal of Political Science, forthcoming

Abstract:

People categorize themselves and others, creating ingroup and outgroup
 distinctions. In American politics, parties constitute the in- and
 outgroups, and party leaders hold sway in articulating party positions. A
party leader's endorsement of a policy can be persuasive, inducing
 co-partisans to take the same position. In contrast, a party leader's
endorsement may polarize opinion, inducing out-party identifiers to take a
 contrary position. Using survey experiments from the 2008 presidential 
election, I examine whether in- and out-party candidate cues - John McCain
 and Barack Obama - affected partisan opinion. The results indicate that
 in-party leader cues do not persuade but that out-party leader cues 
polarize. This finding holds in an experiment featuring President Bush in
which his endorsement did not persuade Republicans but it polarized 
Democrats. Lastly, I compare the effect of party leader cues to party label
 cues. The results suggest that politicians, not parties, function as 
polarizing cues.

----------------------

Polarized Politics and Citizen Disengagement: The Role of Belief Systems

Laura Hussey

American Politics Research, forthcoming

Abstract:

This article examines citizens who combine liberalism on one of two major
 issue dimensions with conservatism on the other, assessing whether they are
 less politically engaged than "consistent" liberals and conservatives and 
whether this relationship has strengthened over time with elite
 polarization. It also explores the contributions of cross-pressures,
 partisanship, and alienation to contemporary ideological differences in 
political engagement. This article departs from most existing research by 
defining ideology two dimensionally. Using the 1984-2008 American National 
Election Studies, it finds that culturally conservative, economically 
liberal Americans and to a lesser extent culturally liberal, economically
 conservative Americans are less engaged in elections than "consistent" 
liberals and conservatives. Different factors explain these differences with 
liberals and conservatives, but cross-pressures do not demobilize either 
"two-dimensional ideologue." Over time, the increased involvement of
liberals and conservatives has produced a growing ideological gap in 
political engagement.

----------------------

The mind and heart (literally) of the negotiator: Personality and contextual 
determinants of experiential reactions and economic outcomes in negotiation

Nikolaos Dimotakis, Donald Conlon & Remus Ilies

Journal of Applied Psychology, forthcoming

Abstract:
The authors developed and tested a model proposing that negotiator
 personality interacts with the negotiation situation to influence
 negotiation processes and outcomes. In 2 studies, the authors found that
 negotiators high in agreeableness were best suited to integrative
 negotiations and that negotiators low in agreeableness were best suited to
 distributive negotiations. Consistent with this person-situation fit
 argument, in Study 1 the authors found that negotiators whose dispositions 
were a good fit to their negotiation context had higher levels of 
physiological (cardiac) arousal at the end of the negotiation compared with 
negotiators who were "misplaced" in situations inconsistent with their level 
of agreeableness, and this arousal was in turn related to increased economic
 outcomes. Study 2 replicated and extended the findings of Study 1, finding 
that person-situation fit was related to physiological (heart rate),
psychological (positive affect), and behavioral activation (persistence) 
demonstrated during the negotiation, and these measures in turn were related 
to the economic outcomes achieved by participants.

----------------------

Revisions and Regret: The Cost of Changing your Mind

Geir Kirkebøen, Erik Vasaasen & Karl Halvor Teigen

Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, forthcoming

Abstract:
Decision reversals often imply improved decisions. Yet, people show a strong 
resistance against changing their minds. These are well-established
 findings, which suggest that changed decisions carry a subjective cost, 
perhaps by being more strongly regretted. Three studies were conducted to 
explore participants' regret when making reversible decisions and to test
 the hypothesis that changing one's mind will increase post-outcome regret.
 The first two studies employed the Ultimatum game and the Trust game. The
 third study used a variant of the Monty Hall problem. All games were 
conducted by individual participants playing interactively against a
computer. The outcomes were designed to capture a common characteristic of 
real-life decisions: they varied from rather negative to fairly positive,
and for every outcome, it was possible to imagine both more and less 
profitable outcomes. In all experiments, those who changed their minds 
reported much stronger post-outcome regret than those who did not change,
 even if the final outcomes were equally good (Experiments 2 and 3) or better
 (Experiment 1). This finding was not because of individual differences with 
respect to gender, tendency to regret, or tendency to maximize. Previous
 studies have found that those who change from a correct to wrong option
 regret more than those who select a wrong option directly. This study 
indicates that this finding is a special case of a more general phenomenon:
 changing one's mind seems to come with a cost, even when one ends up with 
favorable outcomes.

----------------------

Source Expertise and Persuasion: The Effects of Perceived Opposition or 
Support on Message Scrutiny

Jason Clark et al.

Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, forthcoming

Abstract:

Compared to nonexperts, expert sources have been considered to elicit more 
processing of persuasive messages because of expectations that the 
information is likely to be valid or accurate. However, depending on the 
position of an advocacy, source expertise could activate other motives that
 may produce a very different relation from that found in past research. When 
messages are counterattitudinal (disagreeable), experts should motivate
 greater processing than nonexpert sources because of expectations that they 
will likely provide robust opposition to one's existing views. In contrast,
 when advocacies are proattitudinal (agreeable), nonexpert rather than expert 
sources should elicit more scrutiny because of perceptions that they will 
likely provide inadequate support to recipients' current views. Two studies 
offer evidence consistent with these predictions. Manipulations of source 
expertise created different expectations regarding the strength of 
opposition or support, and these perceptions accounted for effects of source
 expertise on the amount of message scrutiny.

----------------------

Value Activation and Processing of Persuasive Messages

Kevin Blankenship & Duane Wegener
Social Psychological and Personality Science, forthcoming

Abstract:

Basing attitudes on one's core values has long been thought to result in
 strong, consequential attitudes. Recent research suggests a less direct
route for values to influence attitude strength-by influencing the extent to
 which people process attitude-relevant information. That research induce d
research participants to explicitly consider important or unimportant values 
in relation to the persuasive message. In contrast, the current research
 examined whether mere activation of important values before encountering a 
persuasive message could enhance message processing. Normatively important
 or unimportant values were subtly activated by simply presenting values 
(Experiment 1) including the values in a previous "unrelated" study 
(Experiment 2) or rating the importance of values in a questionnaire prior 
to the persuasive message. Experiment 3 suggested that important values are 
not equivalent to any other important constructs. Activation of important 
values increased information processing but activation of equally important
 alternative attitudes did not.

----------------------

Tell Me What I Did Wrong: Experts Seek and Respond to Negative Feedback

Stacey Finkelstein & Ayelet Fishbach
Journal of Consumer Research, forthcoming

Abstract:
A large proportion of marketing communication concerns feedback to
 consumers. This article explores what feedback people seek and respond to. 
We predict and find a shift from positive to negative feedback as people
 gain expertise. We document this shift in a variety of domains, including 
feedback on language acquisition, pursuit of environmental causes, and use
 of consumer products. Across these domains, novices sought and responded to 
positive feedback, and experts sought and responded to negative feedback. We 
examine a motivational account for the shift in feedback: positive feedback 
increased novices' commitment, and negative feedback increased experts' 
sense that they were making insufficient progress.

----------------------

Can Cheap Talk Deter? An Experimental Analysis

Dustin Tingley & Barbara Walter
Journal of Conflict Resolution, forthcoming

Abstract:

What effect does cheap talk have on behavior in an entry-deterrence game? We 
shed light on this question using incentivized laboratory experiments of the 
strategic interaction between defenders and potential entrants. Our results
 suggest that cheap talk can have a substantial impact on the behavior of 
both the target and the speaker. By sending costless threats to potential
 entrants, defenders are able to deter opponents in early periods of play.
 Moreover, after issuing threats, defenders become more eager to fight. We 
offer a number of different explanations for this behavior. These results
 bring fresh evidence about the potential importance of costless verbal
 communication to the field of international relations.

----------------------

The innuendo effect: Hearing the positive but inferring the negative

Nicolas Kervyn, Hilary Bergsieker & Susan Fiske

Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, forthcoming

Abstract:
 Speakers can convey mixed impressions by providing only positive 
information. As a series of studies shows, when communicators omit
 information on a salient, relevant dimension of social perception, listeners 
make negative inferences about the target on that omitted dimension, despite
 directly receiving only positive information on another dimension (Studies 1
& 2a). These negative inferences mediated the effect of the innuendo 
manipulation on judgments about the target person's suitability for 
inclusion in one's group. Simulating communication. Study 2b participants
 read Study 2a's descriptions and showed this innuendo effect is stronger for 
descriptions of female as opposed to male targets in an academic domain. We 
discuss implications of innuendo for the communication and perpetuation of
mixed impressions and their prevalence in descriptions of subordinate group 
members.

----------------------

What to Say When: Influencing Consumer Choice by Delaying the Presentation 
of Favorable Information

Xin Ge, Gerald Häubl & Terry Elrod
Journal of Consumer Research, forthcoming

Abstract:

Delaying the presentation of some favorable information about an alternative 
(e.g., a product, service, brand, store, or cause) until after consumers
 have completed their pre-choice screening can increase that alternative's
choice share. While such a delay reduces the alternative's chance of
surviving the screening, it can actually increase its probability of
 ultimately being chosen. Evidence from five experiments demonstrates this 
preference-enhancing effect of the delayed presentation of favorable
 information, and it illustrates the underlying preference dynamics across
 decision stages associated with such a delay. The findings also indicate 
that this preference-enhancing effect is driven by a combination of two
 mental mechanisms - a shift in the decision weights of attribute dimensions 
(rendering dimensions on which a delay occurs more influential across all
alternatives) and an overall preference boost for the alternative about
which information is delayed.

----------------------

Language and Persuasion: Linguistic Extremity Influences Message Processing
 and Behavioral Intentions

Traci Craig & Kevin Blankenship

Journal of Language and Social Psychology, September 2011, Pages 290-310

Abstract:

The present studies explore the role of linguistic extremity on message 
processing, persuasion, and behavioral intentions. Past research has found
 that the use of intense language has led to increases in attitude-behavior
 consistency. The authors present research that suggests that one reason for 
these effects is because linguistic extremity increases message processing,
 a common antecedent to attitude strength. Across two studies, linguistic 
extremity increased message processing relative to a control message. Study
2 replicated the increased processing effects with a different topic, and 
linguistic extremity led to increases in intentions to sign a petition when
the message contained strong arguments. Furthermore, increases in behavioral
 intentions were mediated by participants' amount of processing. Implications 
for linguistic extremity as a linguistic marker of attitude strength are 
discussed.

----------------------

The Communication Orientation Model: Explaining the Diverse Effects of
 Sight, Sound, and Synchronicity on Negotiation and Group Decision-Making 
Outcomes

Roderick Swaab et al.

Personality and Social Psychology Review, forthcoming

Abstract:

Two quantitative meta-analyses examined how the presence of visual channels, 
vocal channels, and synchronicity influences the quality of outcomes in 
negotiations and group decision making. A qualitative review of the 
literature found that the effects of communication channels vary widely and 
that existing theories do not sufficiently account for these contradictory 
findings. To parsimoniously encompass the full range of existing data, the 
authors created the communication orientation model, which proposes that the 
impact of communication channels is shaped by communicators' orientations to 
cooperate or not. Two meta-analyses - conducted separately for negotiations
 and decision making - provide strong support for this model. Overall, the 
presence of communication channels (a) increased the achievement of 
high-quality outcomes for communicators with a neutral orientation, (b) did
 not affect the outcomes for communicators with a cooperative orientation, 
but (c) hurt communicators' outcomes with a noncooperative orientation.
 Tests of cross-cultural differences in each meta-analysis further supported
 the model: for those with a neutral orientation, the beneficial effects of
 communication channels were weaker within East Asian cultures (i.e., 
Interdependent and therefore more predisposed towards cooperation) than
 within Western cultures (i.e., Independent).

----------------------

Who Taught Me That? Repurposed News, Blog Structure, and Source 
Identification

Emily Vraga et al.
Journal of Communication, October 2011, Pages 795-815

Abstract:

Changes in the information society, especially the rise of blogs, have 
refocused attention on questions of media modality, source identification,
 and motivation in online environments. We manipulate the structure of a 
blogger's critique on a news story (global vs. interspersed) and the 
partisan target of the blogger (Democrats vs. Republicans) in an experiment 
embedded in an online survey. Our results support our expectations: The more
 difficult story format decreases the ability of less motivated readers to 
correctly identify the source of their information, without affecting the 
motivated. These effects of structure on source identification are 
democratically consequential when people rely on blogs for facts about 
public affairs without the proper cautionary caveats regarding the
 credibility of the source.

----------------------

Hedges, Tag Questions, Message Processing, and Persuasion

Lawrence Hosman & Susan Siltanen
Journal of Language and Social Psychology, September 2011, Pages 341-349

Abstract:

This study explored the effects of tag questions, hedges, and argument
 quality on receivers' perceptions of a speaker, perceptions of message
 quality, cognitive responses, and attitude change. The results showed that
 tag questions and argument quality directly affected speaker and message 
quality perceptions and cognitive responses. They also interacted to
 directly affect perceptions of the speaker's power and credibility.
 Mediational analyses also showed that tag questions and argument quality had
 indirect effects on attitude change. The results are discussed in terms of 
their implications for the cognitive processing of and research on 
linguistic markers of powerlessness.


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