Childhood
Effects of Universal and Unconditional Cash Transfers on Child Abuse and Neglect
Lindsey Bullinger, Analisa Packham & Kerri Raissian
NBER Working Paper, September 2023
Abstract:
We estimate the effects of cash transfers on a severe measure of child welfare: maltreatment. To do so, we leverage year-to-year household variation from a universal and unconditional cash transfer, the Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend (PFD). Using linked individual-level administrative data on PFD payments and child maltreatment referrals, we show that an additional $1,000 to families in the first few months of a child's life reduces the likelihood that a child is referred to Child Protective Services by age three by 2.0 percentage points, or 10 percent, on average. Estimates indicate that additional cash transfers also reduce child mortality.
The Effects of Adverse Childhood Experiences on Adults' Subjective Wellbeing
David Blanchflower & Alex Bryson
Dartmouth College Working Paper, September 2023
Abstract:
Using four cross-sectional data files for the United States and Europe we show that Adverse Childhood Experiences (ACE) have a significant impact on subjective wellbeing (SWB) in adulthood. Death of a parent, parental separation or divorce, financial difficulties, the prolonged absence of a parent, quarreling between parents, parental unemployment, sexual assault, experiencing long-term health problems, being bullied at school and being beaten or punched as a child all have long-term impacts on wellbeing. These experiences impact a wide range of wellbeing measures in adulthood including satisfaction with many aspects of everyday life, happiness and life satisfaction, self-assessed health, and are positively linked to measures of negative affect including the GHQ6. The evidence linking ACEs to lower SWB in adulthood is consistent across fifty different measures including sixteen positive affect and twenty-six negative affect measures relating to assessments of one's one life, and eight variables capturing how the individual feels about the area she lives in, including unemployment, drugs, violence and vandalism plus democracy in their country. Trauma in childhood is long lasting.
The emergence of procyclical fertility: The role of breadwinner women
Sena Coskun & Husnu Dalgic
Journal of Monetary Economics, forthcoming
Abstract:
Fertility in the US exhibits an increasingly more procyclical pattern. We argue that women's breadwinner status is behind procyclical and lower fertility: (i) women's relative income in the family has increased over time; and (ii) women are more likely to work in relatively stable and countercyclical industries whereas men tend to work in volatile and procyclical industries. This creates a countercyclical gender income gap as women become breadwinners in recessions, producing an insurance effect of women's income. Our quantitative framework shows that rising breadwinner status of women can explain both the emergence of procyclical fertility and the decline in fertility rate in the second half of the 20th century.
Marijuana Legalization and Fertility
Sarah Papich
American Journal of Health Economics, forthcoming
Abstract:
State-level marijuana legalization has unintended consequences, including its effect on fertility. Marijuana use is associated with behaviors that increase fertility as well as physical changes that lower fertility. In this paper, I provide the first causal evidence of the effects of recreational marijuana legalization on birth rates using a difference-in-differences design that exploits variation in marijuana legalization across states and over time. The main result is that legalizing recreational marijuana decreases a state's birth rate by an average of 2.78%. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the largest decrease in the birth rate occurs among women close to the end of their child-bearing years. I find suggestive evidence of increases in days of marijuana use per month and in the probability of being sexually active. Together, these findings show that the physical effects of marijuana use have the dominant effect on fertility. Finally, I examine the effects of medical marijuana legalization on fertility and find a smaller, statistically insignificant decrease in the birth rate, which is consistent with the smaller increase in marijuana use that results from medical legalization.
Adverse Childhood Experiences and Sexual Orientation: An Intersectional Analysis of Nationally Representative Data
Joshua Mersky, ChienTi Plummer Lee & Davin Hami
American Journal of Preventive Medicine, forthcoming
Methods: Data collected between 1994 and 2018 from 12,519 participants in the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health were analyzed in 2023 to generate ACE prevalence estimates. Unadjusted one-way ANOVAs and multivariate regressions were performed to compare differences in independent and cumulative ACE measures by sexual orientation, gender, race/ethnicity, and poverty status. A multilevel analysis of individual heterogeneity and discriminatory accuracy (MAIHDA) was conducted to estimate ACE scores across 24 groups that were stratified by sexual orientation, gender, race/ethnicity, and poverty status.
Results: Compared to straight participants, adolescents with same-sex attractions and adults who identified with a sexual minority group reported more ACEs overall, though associations varied by ACE type. Strikingly, ACE scores were higher among White than Black youth with same-sex attractions, more economically advantaged than poor bisexual adults, and poor White than poor Black and Hispanic participants, suggesting that the combination of disadvantaged and marginalized statuses does not necessarily correspond with greater childhood adversity. A MAIHDA interaction model showed that sexual orientation and poverty status contributed significant variance to cumulative ACE scores whereas gender and race/ethnicity did not.